CYPC(600900) 长江证券·2025-05-08 10:12Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 32.496 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.28%. The proposed cash dividend per share is 0.943 yuan (including tax), which accounts for 71% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.20% based on the closing price on April 29 [2][6]. - In the first quarter of 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.181 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.56%, driven by strong growth in electricity generation and continuous cost optimization [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 84.492 billion yuan, an increase of 8.12% year-on-year, and a total power generation of approximately 295.904 billion kWh, up 7.11% year-on-year. The average on-grid electricity price for the year was 285.52 yuan per MWh, an increase of 4.24 yuan per MWh compared to the previous year [6][10]. - The company’s gross profit margin for 2024 reached 59.13%, an increase of 1.31 percentage points year-on-year, while financial expenses decreased by 11.38% to 11.131 billion yuan [10][14]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 17.015 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.68%, with a gross profit margin of 52.98%, up 4.86 percentage points year-on-year [10][14]. Water Supply and Generation Capacity - The water supply conditions improved significantly, with the total water supply from the Wudongde Reservoir in 2024 being approximately 1,123.69 million cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 9.19%, and from the Three Gorges Reservoir at approximately 3,740.95 million cubic meters, also up 9.11% year-on-year [10][14]. - In the first quarter of 2025, the total water supply from the Wudongde Reservoir was approximately 167.05 million cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 12.50%, contributing to a power generation of 57.679 billion kWh, up 9.35% year-on-year [10][14]. Future Earnings Projections - The company’s projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.36 yuan, 1.46 yuan, and 1.47 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 21.59, 20.20, and 20.01 [10][14].