HPEC(SH:600312) China Post Securities·2025-05-08 10:23Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% within the next six months [7][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 12.0 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.02 billion yuan, up 25.4% year-on-year [4]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.51 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.8%, with a net profit of 360 million yuan, up 55.9% year-on-year, driven by increased income from key projects and regular products [4]. - The high voltage and distribution network segments showed revenue growth, while international business faced short-term pressure due to geopolitical factors [5]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2024 was 12.40 billion yuan, with a projected growth rate of approximately 11.6% for the following years, reaching 17.25 billion yuan by 2027 [11]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 28.7%, an increase of 3.5 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 15.4%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [5]. - The company is expected to maintain a healthy financial position with an asset-liability ratio of 49.6% and a projected PE ratio decreasing from 22.14 in 2024 to 12.10 by 2027 [3][11]. Segment Analysis - Revenue from the high voltage segment reached 7.70 billion yuan in 2024, up 25.1% year-on-year, while the distribution network segment generated 3.24 billion yuan, up 11.4% year-on-year [5]. - The international business segment, however, saw a significant decline in revenue, down 71.8% year-on-year, primarily due to delays in project execution and increased costs [5]. - The company is actively expanding its high voltage product offerings, including new products for high-altitude applications and large-capacity equipment [6].