AMD(US:AMD) BOCOM International·2025-05-08 11:48Investment Rating - The investment rating for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US) is "Buy" [3]. Core Insights - The report indicates that AMD's data center business is expected to accelerate growth post-2H25, with attractive valuations [1]. - The revenue for 1Q25 exceeded expectations, driven by strong client business performance, despite challenges from export controls affecting the data center segment [7]. - The introduction of new products MI350 and MI400 is anticipated to drive significant growth in the data center business in 2H25 and beyond [7]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for AMD are as follows: - 2023: $22,680 million - 2024: $25,785 million - 2025E: $31,304 million - 2026E: $37,556 million - 2027E: $41,672 million - Year-over-year revenue growth rates are projected at: - 2023: -3.9% - 2024: 13.7% - 2025: 21.4% - 2026: 20.0% - 2027: 11.0% [2][12]. - Non-GAAP EPS estimates are: - 2023: $2.65 - 2024: $3.31 - 2025: $3.88 - 2026: $5.31 - 2027: $6.44 [2][12]. - The report projects a slight adjustment in revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to $31,304 million and $37,556 million respectively, with Non-GAAP EPS adjusted to $3.88 and $5.31 [7]. Market Performance - AMD's stock price closed at $100.36, with a target price raised to $142.00, indicating a potential upside of 41.5% [1][10]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately $162.29 billion [5]. - AMD's stock has experienced a year-to-date decline of 16.91% [5]. Product and Market Strategy - The report highlights that the MI350 product launch in mid-2025 is expected to significantly enhance the attractiveness of AMD's data center offerings [7]. - The company is also expected to gain market share in traditional data center CPU business segments [7]. Analyst Commentary - Analysts believe that AMD's product roadmap and execution are strong, and the recent export controls may have a neutral or positive impact on the company's stock performance moving forward [7].