Workflow
致欧科技:积极应对关税影响-20250508

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.1 billion with a year-on-year growth of 14% in Q1 2025, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 110 million, up 10.3% year-on-year [1]. - For 2024, the company expects a revenue of 8.1 billion, an increase of 34%, but a decrease in net profit attributable to the parent company by 19% to 330 million [1]. - The company is facing multiple external challenges in 2024, including geopolitical tensions, rising shipping costs, and increased tariffs, which pose significant risks to supply chain stability [1][3]. - Despite these challenges, the company is focusing on product diversification, channel expansion, and logistics optimization to enhance efficiency and reduce costs [1]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.1 billion, with a net profit of 110 million, and a non-recurring net profit of 120 million, reflecting a 25% increase year-on-year [1]. - The projected revenue for the furniture series in 2024 is 4.2 billion, up 37%, while the home series is expected to generate 3 billion, up 36% [1]. - The company anticipates a revenue of 4.9 billion from Europe, a 31% increase, and 3 billion from North America, a 39% increase in 2024 [1]. Adjusted Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 380 million, 550 million, and 700 million respectively, reflecting the impact of tariff uncertainties and supply chain transitions [5]. - The adjusted price-to-earnings ratios for 2025-2027 are projected to be 20X, 14X, and 11X respectively [5]. Market and Competitive Landscape - The company plans to transition its main shipping base to Southeast Asia by Q3 2025, with 40% of shipments currently originating from this region [3]. - The cost of furniture procurement in Southeast Asia is approximately 10% higher than domestic costs, with additional logistics costs leading to an overall increase of 25% in operational costs [3].