鼎胜新材（603876）：全球化布局持续推进，海外收入增长明显

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][4][6] Core Views - The company is the largest manufacturer of battery aluminum foil globally, with significant scale advantages, and is expected to see revenue and profit growth in the future [4] - The company has experienced a notable increase in overseas revenue, indicating a successful global expansion strategy [4][9] - The forecast for earnings per share (EPS) has been adjusted downwards due to a decrease in aluminum foil processing fees, with projected EPS for 2025-2027 being 0.53, 0.64, and 0.77 RMB respectively [6][8] Financial Summary - The company reported a revenue of 24,022 million RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 26.01%, but a net profit of 301 million RMB, down 43.70% [9][10] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6,456.62 million RMB, up 26.08% year-on-year, with a net profit of 85.27 million RMB, reflecting a significant increase of 179.93% [11] - The company’s aluminum foil product sales reached 816,100 tons in 2024, a 29.00% increase year-on-year, contributing to a revenue of 19,989 million RMB [9][10] - The overseas revenue for 2024 was 8,850 million RMB, marking a 55.35% increase, showcasing the company's effective global strategy [9][10] Valuation Metrics - The adjusted forecast for diluted EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.53, 0.64, and 0.77 RMB, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 16.4, 13.5, and 11.3 [6][8] - The company’s projected revenue for 2025 is 26,379 million RMB, with a growth rate of 9.8% [8][12] - The EBITDA for 2025 is estimated at 1,424 million RMB, with a projected EBITDA margin improvement over the years [8][12]