NKF(SH:603707) HTSC·2025-05-09 02:40Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 17.41 RMB [8][9] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 39.24 billion RMB, with a slight decrease of 0.20% year-over-year, while the net profit is expected to turn positive at 8.26 billion RMB [1] - The biopharmaceutical business, particularly the biosimilar drugs, is expected to drive performance improvement throughout the year [1] - The company has seen strong growth in its formulation segment, with a revenue increase of 10% year-over-year in 2024, particularly in non-heparin formulations which grew by 24% [2] - The biosimilar drugs are anticipated to become the next growth engine, with significant revenue contributions from products like Adalimumab and Liraglutide [3] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 10.25 billion RMB, 13.46 billion RMB, and 16.62 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 24%, 31%, and 23% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.63 RMB, 0.83 RMB, and 1.03 RMB for the same years [5] Financial Metrics - The company's revenue for 2024 is expected to be 39.24 billion RMB, with a slight decline from the previous year, while the net profit is projected to be 8.26 billion RMB [1][7] - The gross margin is expected to decline to 43.21% in 2024, primarily due to pressures in the heparin raw material segment [4] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately 16.95 billion RMB as of May 8 [9]