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鼎捷数智:业绩保持稳健增长,AI商业化落地加速-20250509

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [3][8]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated steady revenue growth, with a reported revenue of 2.33 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.62%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same year was 156 million yuan, up 3.59% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company is focusing on high-growth segments such as low-altitude economy and artificial intelligence (AI), which are expected to drive future revenue growth [4][6]. - The company has made significant advancements in AI product commercialization, with numerous AI applications developed to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs for clients [6][7]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 58.25%, a decrease of 3.65 percentage points from the previous year, primarily due to changes in product mix [5]. - The company has improved its cost management, leading to a stable net profit margin of 6.80% in 2024, only slightly down by 0.17 percentage points from the previous year [5]. - The forecasted earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.76 yuan, 0.93 yuan, and 1.17 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 49.1, 39.9, and 31.7 [8][10]. Market Dynamics - The company has experienced a slowdown in revenue growth in mainland China due to weak downstream demand, but has seen strong growth in Southeast Asia, particularly in AI product sales [4][6]. - The company’s revenue from non-mainland regions reached 1.15 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.53%, with significant growth in Taiwan's AI business [4][6]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in downstream industry demand and continued expansion into overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia [8]. - The projected revenue growth rates for the upcoming years are 14.1% for 2025, 15.8% for 2026, and 17.4% for 2027, indicating a robust growth trajectory [10][14].