涛涛车业：一季度业绩同比增长69%，公司强者恒强市占率有望持续提升-20250509

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 640 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 86 million yuan, which is a 69% increase year-on-year [1] - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.98 billion yuan, up 39% year-on-year, and a net profit of 430 million yuan, reflecting a 54% year-on-year growth [1] - The company’s sales net profit margin for 2024 was 14.5%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, and the weighted ROE was 14.2%, up 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The revenue from electric golf carts grew over 9 times in 2024, while electric bicycles and off-road motorcycles saw growth rates exceeding 40% [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 640 million yuan and a net profit of 86 million yuan, marking a 23% and 69% increase year-on-year respectively [1] - For the full year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.98 billion yuan and a net profit of 430 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 39% and 54% respectively [1] - The company’s sales net profit margin for 2024 was 14.5%, and the weighted ROE was 14.2% [1] Product Segments - The revenue from smart electric low-speed vehicles in 2024 was 1.89 billion yuan, a 48% increase year-on-year, with electric golf carts contributing 810 million yuan, a staggering 935% increase [2] - The revenue from special vehicles in 2024 was 920 million yuan, with all-terrain vehicles generating 740 million yuan (up 19%) and off-road motorcycles generating 190 million yuan (up 52%) [2] Market Position and Strategy - The company is expected to strengthen its market position as the competitive landscape improves, with its market share likely to increase despite challenges in exports to the U.S. due to high tariffs [3] - The company has established a leading position in overseas production capacity, with factories planned in the U.S., Vietnam, and Thailand, enhancing its core competitiveness [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.79 billion yuan, 4.52 billion yuan, and 5.30 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 27%, 19%, and 17% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 573 million yuan, 692 million yuan, and 826 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 33%, 21%, and 19% respectively [4]