HMT(SH:603306) EBSCN·2025-05-09 02:40Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its long-term growth potential [5]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated rapid revenue growth, with a projected revenue of 2.213 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.67%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 277 million yuan, up 14.64% year-on-year [1]. - The automotive passive safety business is on a growth trajectory, with a strategic focus on high-end, domestic, and new energy directions. The revenue from major new energy vehicle manufacturers is anticipated to account for nearly 30% of total revenue in 2024 [1]. - The company is expanding its semiconductor and computing power manufacturing business through a strategic investment in an electronic manufacturing service company, holding a 42.16% stake [2]. - The controlling shareholder's plan to increase their stake in the company, with a minimum investment of 100 million yuan, reflects confidence in the company's long-term development [2]. - The company has actively repurchased shares, acquiring 21 million shares, which is 6.34% of the total share capital, with a total expenditure of 771 million yuan [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 537 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.37%, and a net profit of 86 million yuan, up 60.34% year-on-year [1]. - The revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted upwards, with net profit estimates of 412 million yuan and 512 million yuan, respectively, reflecting increases of 48.51% and 24.31% [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Revenue projections from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 2.055 billion yuan (2023), 2.213 billion yuan (2024), 3.091 billion yuan (2025), 4.052 billion yuan (2026), and 5.233 billion yuan (2027) [4]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are: 242 million yuan (2023), 277 million yuan (2024), 412 million yuan (2025), 512 million yuan (2026), and 626 million yuan (2027) [4]. Valuation Metrics - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 50 in 2023 to 20 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [10]. - The projected ROE is expected to rise from 6.59% in 2023 to 12.05% in 2027, reflecting enhanced profitability [9]. Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute dividends, with projected per-share dividends of 0.20 yuan (2023), 0.10 yuan (2024), 0.14 yuan (2025), 0.18 yuan (2026), and 0.22 yuan (2027) [10].