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迈瑞医疗(300760):业绩符合预期,2025年国内业绩迎来复苏拐点

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company's domestic performance is under short-term pressure, but it is expected to enter a recovery phase in 2025. In 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 36.726 billion yuan, with domestic revenue of 20.292 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5.10%. This decline is primarily due to tight local fiscal funding, a significant reduction in the issuance of medical special bonds, and delays in regular bidding for medical equipment updates. However, data from the first quarter of 2025 indicates a continuous recovery in the industry, with local special bonds for hospital renovations and equipment procurement showing rapid growth [2][4][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 36.726 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.14%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 11.668 billion yuan, up 0.74%. In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported an operating income of 8.237 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.12%, and a net profit of 2.629 billion yuan, down 16.81% [4][9]. Domestic and International Market Analysis - The domestic market is expected to face short-term challenges, but signs of recovery are emerging for 2025. The overseas market, however, is showing robust growth, with 2024 overseas revenue reaching 16.434 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.28%. The overseas business now accounts for approximately 45% of total revenue, with the company maintaining a top-three market share in various product categories globally [9]. Business Segments and Competitive Advantage - The company operates in three main business areas, supported by the "Smart Ecosystem" strategy. In the life information and support sector, revenue in 2024 was 13.557 billion yuan, down 11.11%. The in-vitro diagnostics segment saw revenue of 13.765 billion yuan, up 10.82%, while the medical imaging segment generated 7.498 billion yuan, a 6.60% increase. The company is actively promoting its laboratory solutions and cloud services, achieving significant installations in hospitals [9]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see net profits of 13.082 billion yuan, 15.072 billion yuan, and 17.551 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 20, 18, and 15 for the years 2025 to 2027 [9].