温氏股份（300498）：公司简评报告：生产成绩持续提升，猪鸡稳步扩张

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 104.92 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.23 billion yuan, up 244.46% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the revenue was 24.33 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.37%, and a net profit of 2.00 billion yuan, reflecting a 261.92% increase year-on-year [2] - The company is a leading player in pig and chicken farming, with stable growth in output and high production performance. The sales volume of pigs reached 30.18 million heads in 2024, a 14.93% increase year-on-year, while the sales price for pigs averaged 16.71 yuan/kg, up 12.83% year-on-year [5][6] - The company has a solid balance sheet with a decreasing debt ratio, aiming to reduce the debt ratio to around 45% by the end of 2025. The company plans to invest approximately 50 billion yuan in fixed assets in 2025, focusing on the construction and upgrade of breeding facilities [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 104,924.35 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 16.68%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 9,230.42 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 244.46% [3] - For 2025, the estimated revenue is projected at 106,977.16 million yuan, with a growth rate of 1.96%, and the net profit is expected to be 9,268.64 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.41% [3] Sales and Production - The company sold 30.18 million pigs in 2024, capturing 4.3% of the national market, and aims to sell between 33 to 35 million pigs in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9% to 16% [5] - The chicken sales volume in 2024 was 1.208 billion birds, with a market share of 8.41%. The company expects a 5% increase in chicken sales volume in 2025 [5] Cost Management - The comprehensive cost of pig farming was 7.2 yuan/kg in 2024, which decreased to 6.3-6.4 yuan/kg in Q1 2025, exceeding quarterly cost targets [5] - The total cost of chicken farming was approximately 6 yuan/kg in 2024, which dropped to about 5.6 yuan/kg in Q1 2025 [5] Investment and Future Outlook - The company plans to invest around 50 billion yuan in fixed assets in 2025, focusing on breeding facilities and equipment upgrades [5] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 9.27 billion yuan, 9.67 billion yuan, and 11.06 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.39 yuan, 1.45 yuan, and 1.66 yuan [5][6]