温氏股份：公司简评报告：生产成绩持续提升，猪鸡稳步扩张-20250509

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 104.92 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.23 billion yuan, up 244.46% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the revenue was 24.33 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.37%, and a net profit of 2.00 billion yuan, reflecting a 261.92% increase year-on-year [2] - The company is a leading player in pig and chicken farming, with stable growth in output and high production performance. The sales volume of pigs reached 30.18 million heads in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.93%, while the sales volume of chickens was 1.208 billion, up 2.09% year-on-year [5][6] - The company has successfully controlled costs, with the comprehensive cost of pigs dropping from 7.2 yuan per jin in 2024 to 6.3-6.4 yuan per jin in Q1 2025, exceeding quarterly cost targets [5] - The company aims to sell between 33 to 35 million pigs in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 9% to 16% [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 104.92 billion yuan, with a net profit of 9.23 billion yuan. The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 106.98 billion yuan, 116.62 billion yuan, and 124.44 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 9.27 billion yuan, 9.67 billion yuan, and 11.06 billion yuan [3][6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 1.39 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.17 [3][6] Market Position - The company holds a 4.3% share of the national pig output, ranking second among listed companies. It also leads the market in chicken production with an 8.41% share [5] - The company has a strong asset-liability management strategy, with a debt ratio of 51.45% as of Q1 2025, down from 53.14% in 2024 [5] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to maintain its leadership in the pig and chicken farming sectors, with stable growth in output and production efficiency. The investment recommendation remains "Buy" based on the anticipated performance and market conditions [5][6]