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拓普集团:Q1客户产销承压,机器人成长势能强-20250510
Tuopu GroupTuopu Group(SH:601689) HTSC·2025-05-09 02:40

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 69.42 RMB [8][9]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 revenue reached 5.768 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.40% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 20.43%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 565 million RMB, down 12.39% year-on-year and 26.23% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to weak production from key customers [1][2]. - The company is committed to its "key customer" strategy, expecting to benefit from new vehicle launches from emerging customers in 2025 [1][3]. - The company is advancing its platform strategy, with successful product line and customer expansion, aiming for dual development in domestic and overseas markets [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1, the company's revenue slightly increased year-on-year, while the gross margin decreased by 2.5% year-on-year to 19.9%, influenced by production fluctuations from core customers [2]. - The company forecasts net profits of 3.81 billion RMB, 4.71 billion RMB, and 5.92 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][19]. Strategic Developments - The company is expanding its overseas production capacity, including new factories in Poland and Thailand, which is expected to reduce tariff risks and enhance local supply capabilities [3]. - The company is actively developing its robotics segment, with plans to establish a robotics industrial base covering approximately 150 acres, aiming to diversify its product offerings [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report assigns a PE ratio of 31.7 for 2025, reflecting the company's growth potential in the electric drive system business, with a target price of 69.42 RMB [5][9].