Hengshun Vinegar(600305) Huaxin Securities·2025-05-11 02:05Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1][9] Core Views - The company is experiencing continuous operational recovery, with the effects of reforms being released [1] - The company reported a total revenue of 2.196 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4%, and a net profit of 127 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47% [4][9] - The company is expected to achieve restorative growth across all products in 2025, with projected EPS of 0.16 yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 48 times [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 21.96 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.27 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.13 billion yuan [4] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a total revenue of 6.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42%, and a net profit turnaround from a loss of 51 million yuan in 2023Q4 to a profit of 7 million yuan [4] - For Q1 2025, total revenue was 6.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36%, with a net profit of 57 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2% [4] Profitability Improvement - The company's gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 34.72% and 35.50%, respectively, with a notable cost reduction from cleaning up long-tail products [5] - The net profit margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 5.08% and 8.96%, respectively, indicating improved operational quality [5] Product Growth and Strategy - Revenue from vinegar, wine, and sauce products in 2024 was 12.66 billion yuan, 3.29 billion yuan, and 1.80 billion yuan, respectively, with a focus on product line optimization [6] - In Q1 2025, revenue from these products showed restorative growth, with vinegar, wine, and sauce revenues increasing by 19%, 9%, and 35%, respectively [6] Sales Channel Optimization - The company reported a 0.5% increase in dealer revenue and a 3% increase in direct sales revenue in 2024, with a focus on improving dealer quality [7] - In Q1 2025, dealer and direct sales revenue increased by 40% and 64%, respectively, indicating a balanced recovery across all channels [7] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 2.351 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 182 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 7.1% and 42.8%, respectively [11]