昊华科技（600378）：短期业绩承压，制冷剂景气度有望提升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term performance pressure, but the outlook for refrigerant market conditions is expected to improve [2] - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 13.966 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 77.86%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.054 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.11% [4][5] - The integration of Sinochem Blue Sky into the company is expected to significantly enhance its comprehensive capabilities and strengthen its fluorochemical industry chain [6] Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.759 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 138.14%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 44.29% [4] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 3.157 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 95.73%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 16.02% [5] - The gross profit margin for Q4 2024 was 19.02%, a decrease of 14.04 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 1.242 billion, 1.534 billion, and 1.775 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 26.54X, 21.49X, and 18.57X [11] Segment Performance - The high-end fluorine materials segment faced pressure with a gross profit margin decrease of 20.7% year-on-year [7] - The electronic chemicals segment showed strong demand with a gross profit increase of 25.0% year-on-year [7] - The carbon reduction business maintained stable growth, with average prices for copper and nickel catalysts increasing by 5.4% and 12.9% year-on-year, respectively [7] Capacity Expansion and Projects - The company has completed nine projects in 2024, including the establishment of China's first large-scale civil aviation tire production line [10] - Ongoing projects include 18,000 tons of polytetrafluoroethylene resin and 6,000 tons of fluorinated gases, which are expected to contribute to new profit growth [10]