YIWU CCC(SH:600415) Soochow Securities·2025-05-11 23:51Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the retail trade industry [1] Core Insights - In April, China's export value exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 8.1% in dollar terms, significantly surpassing the 1.9% forecast by Reuters. This growth occurred despite a 21% decline in exports to the U.S. The main drivers of this growth were exports to ASEAN, Africa, and Latin America, which saw increases of 20.8%, 25.3%, and 17.3% respectively [4][9] - Yiwu, where the small commodity city is located, reported impressive import and export growth in the first quarter of 2025, with total import and export value reaching 167.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.0%, and exports amounting to 147.3 billion yuan, up 14.5%. The city's low dependency on U.S. exports (only 15% of total exports) positions it favorably under the current tariff environment [4][9] - The report highlights the potential benefits for Yiwu from the recent policy initiatives aimed at enhancing the free trade zone, which includes measures to streamline customs processes for food and drug imports. This is expected to further boost the market, especially in cross-border imports [10] - The report recommends investing in the small commodity city as a core asset for non-U.S. exports, citing its low exposure to U.S. tariffs, ongoing market reforms, and the upcoming launch of new global trade centers expected to enhance profitability [4][10] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The report notes that despite tariff impacts, China's exports have shown robust growth, particularly in non-U.S. markets, indicating a shift in trade dynamics [4][9] Market Performance - The retail trade index increased by 0.88% during the week of May 6 to May 11, 2025, while the overall market indices also showed positive performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.92% [11][14] Company Valuation Table - The report includes a detailed valuation table for various companies within the industry, highlighting their market capitalization, closing prices, and projected earnings, with several companies rated as "Buy" or "Overweight" [17][18]