通 用 研 究 2026 年 1 月 29 日 电子——沪电股份 （002463）：公司一季度面临多重积极催化：1、海外云厂商进入财报季以及国内供应链业 绩预告披露，将验证 A 算力需求的持续性及行业景气度；2、英伟达 GTC 大会召开在即，高端 PCB 板需求凸显，公 司已批量交付 112G 交换机 PCB，并配合客户开发 224G 产品，技术卡位优势显著，泰国基地量产爬坡及国内高端产 能项目，有望打破供给瓶颈。公司目前股价调整较为充分，当前动态 PE 在 26 年业绩高增速的背景下具备配置性价 比。 国防军工——国科军工（688543）：公司是国内重要的弹药装备研制生产企业之一，目前正在由常规弹药向智 能化、信息化弹药转型，未来有望充分受益行业的高景气；公司是国内少数从事导弹（火箭）固体发动机动力模块 及总装科研生产的企业之一，军贸订单落地将为公司开启更大成长空间，未来业绩有望续创历史新高。 医药生物——和黄医药（0013.HK）: 1、新一代 ATTC 平台下候选药物首次进入人体临床试验 ：1）HMPL-A251 是一款全球首创的 PI3K/PIKK- HER2 抗体靶向偶联药物（"ATTC"），由高选 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the structural opportunities in both domestic demand and overseas expansion for 2026, particularly focusing on new services and new retail sectors [2][24] - It highlights the positive resonance between policy and fundamentals, suggesting that leading companies in the commercial sector are likely to benefit from policy stimuli and improve their fundamentals [2][4] Domestic Demand - The report identifies new services and new retail as the main lines for domestic demand, with a focus on the marginal changes in the fundamentals of related sub-sectors [2][5] - Specific sub-sectors showing price increase potential include: - **Hotels**: Strong leisure demand and optimized supply structure, with prices expected to remain stable or slightly increase. Recommended companies include Huazhu Group, Jinjiang Hotels, and Shoulv Hotels [2][3] - **Duty-Free**: With the opening of Hainan, the sector is stabilizing, and China Duty Free is highlighted as a key player [2][3] - **Gold and Jewelry**: The report notes a high volatility in gold prices but anticipates improved terminal sales. Recommended companies include Chow Tai Fook and Lao Puhuang [2][3] - **Mother and Baby**: Leading companies are expected to maintain steady growth, supported by favorable policies. Recommended companies include Kidswant and Aiyingshi [2][3] Sub-Sectors Driven by Volume Growth - The report suggests focusing on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for sectors primarily driven by volume growth: - **Supermarkets**: CPI increases are beneficial for same-store sales, with a shift in focus from store adjustments to supply chain reforms. Recommended companies include Yonghui Superstores and Jiajiayue [3][5] - **Tourism**: The report highlights the potential for expansion and asset integration in the tourism sector, recommending companies like Jiuhua Tourism and Changbai Mountain [3][5] - **Dining**: Emphasizes refined operations and incentives for leading companies, with recommendations including Yum China and Haidilao [3][5] - **Tea Drinks**: The report notes that delivery subsidies may impact pricing, with store openings expected to drive growth. Recommended companies include Mixue and Gu Ming [3][5] Overseas Expansion - The report indicates that leading companies with high barriers to entry are expected to continue showing strong performance in overseas markets, with a focus on brand building and diversified destinations [4][24] - Recommended companies for overseas expansion include: - **Small Commodity City** and **Miniso**: Both are noted for their strong performance and brand development [4][24] - **Anker Innovations** and **Sumida**: Highlighted for their competitive advantages in specific segments [4][24] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that for 2026, investors should focus on sectors benefiting from policy support and those with strong performance certainty in overseas markets [5][24] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the recovery of volume in certain sectors while maintaining a cautious approach to pricing stability [5][24]

证券之星消息，1月22日一般零售板块较上一交易日上涨0.81%，锦和商管领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4122.58，上涨0.14%。深证成指报收于14327.05，上涨0.5%。一般零售板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603682 | 锦和商管 | 7.35 | 4.11% | 34.28万 | 2.52亿 | | 002356 | 赫美集团 | 4.44 | 3.26% | 93.22万 | 4.13亿 | | 600857 | 宁波中百 | 14.39 | 3.08% | ● 8.56万 | 1.22亿 | | 600415 | 小商品城 | 17.25 | 2.99% | 138.11万 | 23.90亿 | | 000715 | 中兴商业 | 6.43 | 2.72% | 19.55万 | 1.25亿 | | 600778 | 友好集团 | 7.13 | 2.44% | 13.35万 | 9410.79万 | | 002277 | 友阿股份 | 7.9 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows positive momentum with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4122.58 points, above the annual line, reflecting a slight increase of 0.14% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The total trading volume of A-shares reached 27,165.07 billion yuan [1] - 120 A-shares have surpassed the annual line, indicating a bullish trend in the market [1] Group 2: Notable Stocks - Stocks with significant deviation rates include: - Teruisi (特瑞斯) with a deviation rate of 22.45% and a daily increase of 29.98% [1] - Qingyun Technology (青云科技) with a deviation rate of 17.76% and a daily increase of 20.00% [1] - Zhongbei Communication (中贝通信) with a deviation rate of 9.06% and a daily increase of 10.00% [1] - Other stocks with smaller deviation rates that have just crossed the annual line include: - Meiansen (梅安森) and Founder Securities (方正证券) [1]

五年间，浙江辖区有浙江东日（600113）、巨化股份（600160）、运达股份、小商品城等9家国有控股 上市公司的市值涨幅超100%。其中，运达股份凭借风电装备领域的技术突破与产能扩张实现价值倍 增，小商品城通过数字化转型与跨境贸易生态构建，巩固了全球小商品集散中心的核心地位，市值增长 与产业升级形成良性互动。 与此同时，浙江辖区国有控股上市公司总资产实现稳健增长。"十四五"时期，浙江辖区国有控股上市公 司总资产由2020年底11207.37亿元增加至2025年三季度末的17507.93亿元，增幅56.22%，年均复合增长 率为9.33%；净资产由2020年底的4228.73亿元增长至2025年三季度末的6089.75亿元，增幅44.01%，年 均复合增长率为7.57%。 随着资本市场改革的持续深化，浙江不断夯实多层次市场基础，推动区域资本生态保持蓬勃向上的发展 态势。作为区域经济的"压舱石"与"领航者"，"十四五"时期，浙江国有控股上市公司在资本赋能下深耕 主业、锐意创新，在高质量发展的过程中奋勇争先。 截至2025年末，浙江辖区（不含宁波，下同）省属及地方国资控股境内上市公司（不含省外国资控股） 已扩容至 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Xiaogoods City (600415) has shown a decline in price and significant net outflow of main funds, indicating potential market concerns despite strong financial performance in recent quarters [1][2]. Financial Performance - Xiaogoods City reported a total revenue of 130.61 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.07% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 34.57 billion yuan, up 48.45% year-on-year [3]. - The company achieved a single-quarter revenue of 53.48 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a 39.02% increase compared to the same quarter last year [3]. - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 17.66 billion yuan, which is a remarkable increase of 100.52% year-on-year [3]. Market Position - Xiaogoods City holds a total market value of 924.53 billion yuan, significantly higher than the commercial retail industry average of 105.98 billion yuan, ranking first in the industry [3]. - The company has a net asset value of 222.61 billion yuan, also ranking second in the industry [3]. - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) stands at 20.06, which is lower than the industry average of 212.7, ranking fifth [3]. Investment Sentiment - Over the past 90 days, 14 institutions have rated Xiaogoods City with a buy recommendation, indicating strong institutional confidence [4]. - The average target price set by institutions for the stock is 21.16 yuan, suggesting potential upside from the current trading price [4].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Zhejiang China Commodity City Group Co., Ltd. has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.03% and a total market capitalization of approximately 923.98 billion yuan. The company has shown a year-to-date increase of 5.64% in stock price, but has faced a decline in the last five trading days [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, the company reported a revenue of 13.061 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.07%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.457 billion yuan, marking a significant increase of 48.45% compared to the previous year [2]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 132,500, up by 11.72% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 10.49% to 41,384 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 7.079 billion yuan in dividends, with 3.263 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 287 million shares, which is a decrease of 64.094 million shares from the previous period. Other notable institutional shareholders include Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF, both of which have also seen reductions in their holdings [3].

证券之星消息，截至2026年1月19日收盘，小商品城(600415)报收于17.2元，下跌1.09%，换手率 1.52%，成交量83.42万手，成交额14.46亿元。 1月19日的资金流向数据方面，主力资金净流出1.52亿元，占总成交额10.54%，游资资金净流入2546.96 万元，占总成交额1.76%，散户资金净流入1.27亿元，占总成交额8.78%。 近5日资金流向一览见下表： 资金流向名词解释：指通过价格变化反推资金流向。股价处于上升状态时主动性买单形成的成交额是推 动股价上涨的力量，这部分成交额被定义为资金流入，股价处于下跌状态时主动性卖单产生的的成交额 是推动股价下跌的力量，这部分成交额被定义为资金流出。当天两者的差额即是当天两种力量相抵之后 剩下的推动股价上升的净力。通过逐笔交易单成交金额计算主力资金流向、游资资金流向和散户资金流 向。 注：主力资金为特大单成交，游资为大单成交，散户为中小单成交 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 该股主要指标及行业内排名如下： 小商品城2025年三季报显示，前三季度公司主 ...

Group 1 - The company, Xiaogoods City, stated that its main business includes market operations, trade services, supporting services, and commodity sales, with no direct sales to the EU market at present [2] - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence through various strategies such as "overseas sub-markets, overseas warehouses, overseas showrooms, overseas exhibitions, and overseas stations" [2] - The company is advancing its "brand going abroad" initiative to deepen its international market penetration [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully developed and launched the "World Yiwu" trade model in collaboration with Alibaba Cloud, marking a significant advancement in its AI capabilities and service offerings [1] Group 1: Development and Launch - The "World Yiwu" trade model was officially launched in December 2025, completing the necessary registration for large-scale and standardized application [1] - The company has developed 14 proprietary AI applications centered around the core capabilities of the trade model [1] Group 2: Service Offerings - The AI applications cover the entire trade chain, providing services such as intelligent style generation in the production design phase [1] - In the content generation phase, the applications enable efficient production of product images, text, and multilingual marketing videos [1] - The applications optimize customer acquisition and conversion paths in the traffic management phase [1] - In the transaction matching phase, the efficiency of supply and demand matching is enhanced [1] - The applications also offer government service consulting in the government cluster phase [1] - In the AI education phase, the tools assist business operators in quickly mastering the use of intelligent tools [1]