Lifotronic(SH:688389) Huachuang Securities·2025-05-12 08:47Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of 16 yuan [2][8]. Core Views - The company's IVD (In Vitro Diagnostics) business shows steady growth, while the rehabilitation treatment business faces pressure [2][8]. - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 1.148 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.20% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 345 million yuan, up by 5.12% [2][4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.82 yuan per 10 shares to all shareholders [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2024A: Total revenue of 1,148 million yuan, net profit of 345 million yuan [4]. - 2025E: Expected revenue of 1,268 million yuan (+10.4% YoY), net profit of 391 million yuan (+13.1% YoY) [4]. - 2026E: Expected revenue of 1,450 million yuan (+14.4% YoY), net profit of 448 million yuan (+14.8% YoY) [4]. - 2027E: Expected revenue of 1,670 million yuan (+15.2% YoY), net profit of 519 million yuan (+15.7% YoY) [4]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2024A: 0.81 yuan, 2025E: 0.91 yuan, 2026E: 1.05 yuan, 2027E: 1.21 yuan [4]. - Valuation Ratios: - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025E is projected at 14 times, decreasing to 11 times by 2027E [4]. Business Segment Performance - IVD Business: - Revenue from IVD business in 2024 reached 911 million yuan (+9.96% YoY), with a significant increase in reagent revenue by 25.73% [8]. - The overall gross margin improved to 67.21% (+1.40 percentage points) due to the higher proportion of high-margin IVD reagents [8]. - Rehabilitation Treatment Business: - Revenue decreased to 220 million yuan (-27.68% YoY) due to a high base effect from the previous year [8]. - Clinical medical business revenue fell by 40.62%, while consumer health business grew by 36.29% [8]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to face short-term pressure in Q1 2025 due to high revenue base effects and pricing pressures in the IVD segment [8]. - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in profitability with a projected net profit of 3.9 billion yuan in 2025, growing to 5.2 billion yuan by 2027 [8].