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立讯精密(002475):逆势增长alpha凸显,三驾马车共驱长线成长
LUXSHARE-ICTLUXSHARE-ICT(SZ:002475) CMS·2025-05-12 11:31

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating with a target price of 60.00 CNY, while the current stock price is 32.08 CNY [2][10]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 268.8 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.91%, and a net profit of 13.366 billion CNY, up 22.03% year-on-year [5][15]. - For Q1 2025, the company forecasts a revenue of 61.8 billion CNY, a 17.9% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.044 billion CNY, reflecting a 23.17% growth [5][15]. - The company is optimistic about its performance in the first half of 2025, projecting a net profit range of 6.475 to 6.745 billion CNY, which corresponds to a growth of 20-25% [5][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 268.8 billion CNY, with a net profit of 13.366 billion CNY, aligning with market expectations [5][15]. - The Q4 2024 revenue was 91.6 billion CNY, showing a year-on-year increase of 20.5% [5][15]. - The company reported a gross margin of 10.41% for 2024, down from 11.58% in 2023, primarily due to underutilization of capacity and losses in certain product lines [15][16]. Business Segments - The consumer electronics segment generated 224.1 billion CNY in revenue in 2024, with a growth rate of 13.65% [6][15]. - The communication segment saw a revenue of 18.359 billion CNY, growing by 26.29% year-on-year, driven by component business growth [7][30]. - The automotive segment reported a revenue of 13.7 billion CNY, with a growth rate nearing 50% [8][30]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a stock option incentive plan for 2025, aiming to grant 221.5 million options, which is about 3.06% of the total share capital [9][10]. - The company is focusing on vertical integration and expanding its product lines across various sectors, including smart home, health care, and automotive [19][20]. - The communication business is expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI infrastructure, with significant investments anticipated in the coming years [27][30]. Future Outlook - The company projects revenues of 321.7 billion CNY for 2025, with a net profit of 16.211 billion CNY, indicating a continued growth trajectory [11][10]. - The automotive business is expected to grow significantly, with plans to become a leading Tier 1 supplier in the global automotive parts market [8][30]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on trends in AI and smart technologies, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [26][30].