RSPC(002493)2025-05-12 12:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The petrochemical industry is under pressure in 2024, with the company waiting for a recovery in industry conditions [3] - The company achieved operating revenue of 326.48 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 37.4% to 0.72 billion yuan [6][20] - The company is expanding its new materials product matrix with multiple new projects coming online, which is expected to enhance product value [10] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 74.98 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.1 billion yuan year-on-year, primarily due to falling prices of main products [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q1 2025 was 0.59 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.04 billion yuan year-on-year [7] - The company’s revenue and profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 343.0 billion yuan, 359.9 billion yuan, and 373.8 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 2.738 billion yuan, 4.592 billion yuan, and 6.226 billion yuan [10][12] Product Segment Performance - In 2024, the revenue from refining products was 117.9 billion yuan, down 3.31% year-on-year, while the gross margin was 17.6%, a decrease of 2.7 percentage points [6] - Chemical products revenue was 121.8 billion yuan, remaining stable year-on-year, with a gross margin of 13.6%, an increase of 3.4 percentage points [6] - The polyester film segment saw significant growth, with revenue of 18.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.75%, driven by the production of a new multifunctional polyester chip project [6] Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leading player in the private refining sector, continuously investing in new materials projects to enhance product value and sustain growth [10] - The company’s financial metrics indicate a projected PE ratio of 32, 19, and 14 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting its growth potential [10][12]