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阳光电源(300274):2025年Q1业绩超预期,储能出货高速增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a strong expectation for price appreciation [3][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 778.6 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.8%, and a net profit of 110.4 billion yuan, up 16.9% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue reached 190.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 50.9% year-on-year growth, while net profit was 38.3 billion yuan, up 82.5% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company's operating cash flow significantly improved, with 2024 operating cash flow at 120.7 billion yuan, a 72.9% increase year-on-year, and Q1 2025 cash flow turning positive at 17.9 billion yuan [4]. - The photovoltaic inverter business saw steady growth, with 2024 shipments of 147GW, a 13% increase year-on-year, and revenue of 291.3 billion yuan, up 5.3% year-on-year [4][5]. - The energy storage system shipments surged by 167% year-on-year to 28GWh in 2024, with revenue from this segment reaching 249.6 billion yuan, a 40.2% increase year-on-year [5]. Financial Data Summary - For the fiscal year 2023, the company reported a revenue of 72,251 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 79.5%. The net profit was 9,440 million yuan, reflecting a 162.7% increase year-on-year [8][10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.89 yuan, 6.56 yuan, and 7.04 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 10.6, 9.5, and 8.8 [6][8]. - The company's gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 29.9%, with a net profit margin of 14.2% [8][11].