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速腾聚创(02498):激光雷达领军再一程,迈向机器人技术平台公司

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is rapidly leading the global LiDAR industry and aims to become a robotics technology platform company, focusing on providing high-quality solutions in the field of embodied intelligence [6][18]. - The company's LiDAR sales are experiencing non-linear high growth, with a projected total sales volume of approximately 544,000 units in 2024, representing a significant year-on-year increase of 109.6% [6][25]. - The company holds a leading market share of 26% in the global passenger vehicle LiDAR market in 2024, benefiting from the widespread application of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) in the Chinese market [6][25][26]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The projected revenue for the company from 2025 to 2027 is estimated at 26.2 billion, 36.6 billion, and 47.0 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits expected to be -2.38 billion, 1.06 billion, and 3.20 billion RMB [5][7]. - The company is not yet profitable, and a price-to-sales (P/S) valuation method is used, with a target market value of approximately 19.4 billion RMB based on a P/S ratio of 7.4 for 2025 [7]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights two main drivers for growth: the end-to-end integration of LiDAR in vehicles and the strategic positioning as a robotics technology platform [6][8]. - The global passenger vehicle LiDAR market is expected to reach approximately 7 billion USD in 2025, with the Chinese market accounting for about 6.3 billion USD [6][8]. Product Development and Technology - The company has a comprehensive product matrix that includes mechanical, semi-solid, and solid-state LiDAR technologies, catering to various performance and application needs [6][41]. - The company is focusing on the development of incremental components for robotics, including solutions for robot vision and dexterous hands, with a projected demand for over 400,000 units of LiDAR products for lawnmowers by 2025 [6][9]. Competitive Landscape - The company has established partnerships with over 30 global automakers and Tier 1 suppliers, with more than 100 designated models, while also expanding its presence in overseas markets [6][29]. - The report notes that the company is well-positioned against competitors due to its strong design capabilities, software technology, and mass production capabilities [54].