Senior(SZ:300568) Orient Securities·2025-05-14 05:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 11.56 CNY based on a 34x P/E ratio for 2025 [4][7]. Core Views - The company has experienced significant growth in diaphragm production and sales, with a year-on-year increase of 56.3% in production and 57.6% in sales for 2024 [10]. - Despite the high growth in production and sales, the company's profitability is under pressure due to declining diaphragm prices, leading to a forecasted decrease in earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 [4][10]. - The company is actively expanding its global footprint, with ongoing construction of overseas bases in Malaysia and Sweden, which are expected to enhance local supply capabilities [10]. - The company is investing in new product development to align with trends in battery technology, including the production of new coated diaphragm products and collaborations for solid-state electrolyte membranes [10]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 30.13 billion CNY in 2023 to 77.20 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 30.2% [6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to recover from 3.64 billion CNY in 2024 to 10.74 billion CNY in 2027, with a notable increase of 57.1% in 2026 [6]. - The gross margin is forecasted to improve from 29.1% in 2024 to 37.4% in 2027, indicating a recovery in profitability as diaphragm prices stabilize [6].