Workflow
完美世界(002624):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:Q4符合,Q1超预期,触底改善趋势明显,关注《异环》后续测试表现

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [2][8]. Core Insights - The company reported Q4 2024 results in line with expectations and Q1 2025 results exceeding expectations, showing a clear trend of improvement after reaching a low point [2]. - Q4 2024 revenue was 1.5 billion yuan, down 6% year-over-year but up 14% quarter-over-quarter, while Q1 2025 revenue surged to 2.02 billion yuan, up 52% year-over-year and 35% quarter-over-quarter, marking a return to profitability [2][4]. - The company is focusing on the performance of its new game "异环" (Yihuan) and the ongoing success of "诛仙世界" (Zhuxian World) to drive future growth [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6.8 billion, 10.3 billion, and 10.7 billion yuan respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 22%, 52%, and 3% [4][9]. - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 645 million yuan in 2025, 1.62 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.93 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting significant recovery and growth [4][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.33 yuan in 2025, 0.84 yuan in 2026, and 1.00 yuan in 2027, indicating a strong turnaround from previous losses [4][9]. Market and Product Insights - The gaming segment saw a revenue increase of 10% year-over-year in Q1 2025, primarily driven by the launch of "诛仙世界" and the performance of esports titles [2][4]. - The company is implementing cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures, which are beginning to show positive effects on its financials [2][4]. - The film and television segment reported a remarkable revenue increase of 1616% year-over-year in Q1 2025, attributed to multiple successful releases [2][4]. Valuation and Price Target - The target price range for the company's stock is set between 15.22 and 19.02 yuan, based on a valuation of 20-25 times the projected earnings for 2026 [4][9]. - The current stock price is 13.69 yuan, suggesting potential upside based on the target price range [4][9].