LONGSHINE(300682) Shanxi Securities·2025-05-15 06:58Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-B" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is transitioning from project-based software services to a platform-based energy operation model, focusing on AI-driven electricity market transactions [1][4] - The company aims to become a leading technology energy enterprise, linking electricity supply and demand while building an energy internet platform for efficient and green energy operations [10] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 670 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.12% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 3 million yuan, up 117.5% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 48.4%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year and 11.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - For the full year 2024, the company reported revenue of 4.48 billion yuan, a decline of 5.24% year-on-year, and a net profit of -280 million yuan [4] Business Segments - The energy internet business grew significantly, generating 1.8 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 17.6%, with a gross margin of 49.6% [4] - The company has seen substantial growth in its charging aggregation platform, with over 18 million registered users and 160,000 charging devices connected, achieving a charging volume of 5.2 billion kWh, a growth of approximately 30% year-on-year [4][5] Market Outlook - The company anticipates a 50-fold increase in electricity trading volume over the next three years, driven by the full liberalization of the electricity market [5] - By 2027, the expected electricity trading volume is projected to reach 100 billion kWh, supported by the conversion of 15 million commercial and industrial users [5] Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 310 million yuan, 460 million yuan, and 940 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to a dynamic P/E ratio of 51.5 times in 2025 [10] - Revenue is expected to grow from 5.13 billion yuan in 2025 to 8.36 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 30.4% [12][16]