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朗新集团:聚焦AI电力市场化交易,向运营平台型公司转变-20250515

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is transitioning from project-based software services to a platform-based energy operation model, focusing on AI-driven market transactions in the energy sector [2][7] - The company aims to leverage its strengths in energy digitalization and the energy internet to enhance its market position and operational efficiency [2][7] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 670 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.12% year-on-year, while achieving a net profit of 3 million yuan, a significant increase of 117.5% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 48.4%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.2 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.8 percentage points [1] - For the full year 2024, the company’s revenue was 4.48 billion yuan, down 5.24% year-on-year, with a net profit of -280 million yuan [2] Business Segments - The energy internet business is experiencing growth, with a revenue of 1.8 billion yuan in 2024, up 17.6% year-on-year, and a gross margin of 49.6%, an increase of 9.9 percentage points [3] - The company’s charging aggregation platform has over 18 million registered users and 1.6 million charging devices, with charging volume reaching 5.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year growth of approximately 30% [3] - The company’s virtual power plant platform has connected 25 GW of distributed photovoltaic capacity, growing rapidly to 37.7 GW in Q1 2025 [3] Market Outlook - The company anticipates a 50-fold increase in trading volume over the next three years due to the full liberalization of the electricity market [4] - The company has established a significant presence in multiple provinces, enhancing its competitive advantage in the electricity trading market [4] - The partnership with Ant Group aims to explore new financing channels and business models through asset tokenization [4] Financial Projections - The company expects net profits of 310 million yuan, 460 million yuan, and 940 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a dynamic P/E ratio of 51.5 for 2025 [7] - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 5.126 billion yuan, 6.414 billion yuan, and 8.363 billion yuan, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [9]