HAID GROUP(SZ:002311) Changjiang Securities·2025-05-15 09:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company set a target for 2024 feed sales growth of 3 million tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 12%. In the first quarter, the year-on-year growth exceeded 25%, surpassing the planned growth rate. The company's performance in the first quarter was better than expected, aided by profits from pig futures hedging. The price of aquatic products is expected to recover by the end of 2024, and the overall price trend in 2025 remains strong, which will drive domestic aquatic feed growth. The long-term potential for feed exports is significant, supporting the company's main business performance growth. The projected main business performance for 2025 and 2026 is 3.85 billion and 4.6 billion yuan, respectively, with a valuation of 10 billion yuan for the breeding business, corresponding to current main business valuations of 21X and 18X, respectively, and the company is continuously recommended [2][4][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 114.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64.3%. In the first quarter of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 25.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.0% [4][9] Feed Segment - The company plans to sell 24.42 million tons of feed in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 8%, with poultry feed, pig feed, and aquatic feed growing by 12%, -3%, and 11%, respectively. In the first quarter of 2025, feed sales reached 5.95 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 25%, with poultry feed, pig feed, and aquatic feed growing by 20%, 35%, and 20%, respectively. The overseas sales volume increased by 40% year-on-year [9] Breeding Business - The company plans to sell 6 million pigs in 2024, contributing 1.4 to 1.5 billion yuan to performance. In the first quarter of 2025, approximately 1.6 million pigs were sold, with the self-breeding cost reduced to around 13 yuan per kilogram, contributing about 600 million yuan to profits [9] Aquaculture and Seedling Business - The aquaculture segment is expected to recover due to the rebound in fish prices by the end of 2024, and the company has actively reduced production to minimize losses. The seedling business faced delays in stocking due to adverse weather, with profits remaining stable in the first quarter of 2025 [9]