NKF(SH:603707) ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-05-15 14:25Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is entering a realization phase for its biopharmaceuticals, with expectations of an upward turning point [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 3.924 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.20% year-over-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased significantly by 536.09% to 826 million yuan [1][9] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 885 million yuan, down 11.85% year-over-year, and a net profit of 85 million yuan, down 52.19% year-over-year [1] Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue from non-heparin formulations is expected to drive growth in overseas formulations, with a projected revenue of 3.050 billion yuan from formulations in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.05% [1][2] - The revenue from non-heparin formulations reached 1.467 billion yuan in 2024, showing a year-over-year growth of 24.25% [1][2] - The company’s heparin raw material revenue is declining, with a projected revenue of 787 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 20.06% of total revenue [2] Future Growth Drivers - The company is expected to see significant growth from its high-margin biopharmaceutical product line, which is entering a realization phase [2][3] - The company has received FDA approvals for several products, including Liraglutide in April 2025, which is anticipated to enhance its international market presence [1][2] Financial Forecasts - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.65 yuan, 0.90 yuan, and 1.22 yuan respectively [3][9] - The company’s revenue is expected to grow to 4.785 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 21.95% [9] Market Position - The company is successfully transitioning from a traditional raw material supplier to an international sterile injection enterprise, with a focus on quality and cost leadership [2]