Workflow
康耐特光学:重大事项点评:全球化布局再下一子,供应端优势继续强化-20250516

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][4]. Core Insights - The company plans to invest $4 million in building an automated resin lens production line in Japan, aiming to enhance its global strategic layout and customization capabilities. The new facility is expected to increase production capacity by 20% compared to existing operations, targeting the North American market [2]. - The establishment of the Japanese factory is seen as a strategic move to mitigate potential tariff risks, improve service to Asia-Pacific customers, and replicate overseas factory construction experience in Thailand to reduce production costs [8]. - The company is positioned as a leader in lens manufacturing, with a dual strategy of self-branded products and ODM partnerships, particularly in the smart glasses sector, which is anticipated to drive future growth [8]. Financial Summary - Projected total revenue for 2024 is 2,061 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 16.1%. By 2027, revenue is expected to reach 3,538 million, maintaining a growth rate of 19.2% [4][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 428 million in 2024, growing to 839 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 24.6% [4][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 1.00 in 2024 to 1.75 in 2027, reflecting the company's improving profitability [4][9]. Valuation Metrics - The target price for the company's stock is set at 40.50 HKD, with the current price at 24.50 HKD, indicating significant upside potential [4]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 22.5 in 2024 to 12.9 by 2027, suggesting that the stock may become more attractive as earnings grow [4]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to decline from 6.1 in 2024 to 2.4 in 2027, further indicating potential value appreciation [4].