CTS Logistics(SH:603128) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-05-16 07:42Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huamao Logistics [8] Core Views - The company's performance meets expectations, with a significant potential for freight forwarding profitability due to supply-demand mismatches in container shipping [8] - The report highlights the impact of rising air and sea freight costs on profit margins, alongside increased investment in overseas network development [8] - The easing of tariffs between China and the US is expected to release pent-up demand, significantly boosting freight forwarding profits [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 17,525 million in 2024 to 20,300 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.6% [2][10] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 539 million in 2024 to 685 million by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 10.8% [2][10] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.41 yuan in 2024 to 0.52 yuan in 2027 [2][10] - The gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 10.6% in 2024 to 11.1% in 2027 [2] Market Data - As of May 15, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 6.96 yuan, with a market capitalization of 9,111 million [3] - The stock has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio projected to decrease from 17 in 2024 to 13 in 2027 [2][3] - The dividend yield is estimated at approximately 4.6% for 2025, indicating a strong commitment to shareholder returns [8]