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北京人力(600861):2024年年报及25年一季报点评报告:业绩承诺稳健兑现,新年开局蹄疾步稳

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company has demonstrated robust performance with a revenue of 43.03 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 791 million yuan, up 44% [1] - The company is focusing on the professional development of its outsourcing business, having added 30 large clients in 2024, with 14 being private enterprises [2] - The company is expected to benefit from close cooperation with leading technology firms, with optimistic trends in subsidies and strong performance certainty for the year [3] Revenue Overview - In 2024, the revenue breakdown by business segment shows outsourcing services at 36.05 billion yuan (up 14%), personnel management services at 990 million yuan (down 9%), compensation and benefits services at 1.2 billion yuan (up 5%), and recruitment and flexible employment at 4.34 billion yuan (up 13%) [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is expected to be 1.15 billion yuan, 983 million yuan, and 1.09 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 45.8%, -14.8%, and +10.5% [4] - The adjusted net profit excluding one-time gains from asset disposals is projected to be 870 million yuan, 980 million yuan, and 1.09 billion yuan for the same period, indicating a steady growth trajectory [4]