Tuopu Group(SH:601689) Tianfeng Securities·2025-05-16 11:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Views - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 26.6 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.02%, and a net profit of 3 billion yuan, up 39.52% year-on-year [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows a revenue of 5.77 billion yuan, a slight increase of 1.4% year-on-year, but a decline in net profit by 12.39% year-on-year [1]. - The company is actively expanding its humanoid robot business and accelerating the growth of its automotive electronics segment [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 19.42%, a decrease of 2.40 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 11.29%, an increase of 0.38 percentage points [1]. - The revenue breakdown for 2024 includes: - Shock Absorption Systems: 4.402 billion yuan (YOY +2.4%), gross margin 21.10% (YOY -2.98pct) - Interior Functional Parts: 8.434 billion yuan (YOY +28.24%), gross margin 18.12% (YOY -1.79pct) - Chassis Systems: 8.203 billion yuan (YOY +33.98%), gross margin 20.42% (YOY -2.62pct) - Automotive Electronics: 1.82 billion yuan (YOY +907.63%), gross margin 19.42% (YOY -2.20pct) - Thermal Management Systems: 2.14 billion yuan (YOY +38.24%), gross margin 17.11% (YOY -1.61pct) - Electric Drive Systems: 0.13 billion yuan (YOY +624.11%), gross margin 50.90% (YOY -30.35pct) [2]. Business Expansion and Strategy - The company is leveraging its technology in online control brake systems to establish a humanoid robot actuator division, focusing on products like linear actuators and sensors [3]. - The automotive electronics business is experiencing significant growth, with rapid production release of closed-loop air suspension systems and increasing orders for line-controlled braking and steering projects [3]. - The acquisition of 100% equity in Wuhu Changpeng enhances the company's market share in interior products and deepens collaboration with leading automotive manufacturers like BYD [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 3.659 billion yuan, 4.337 billion yuan, and 5.350 billion yuan respectively, with the current market capitalization corresponding to P/E ratios of 24, 21, and 17 times for 2025-2027 [4].