Avary Holding(SZ:002938) Great Wall Securities·2025-05-16 13:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [4][17]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from stable revenue growth in 2024, driven by the AI wave, with projected revenue of 35.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.6% [1][8]. - The company has established a comprehensive product matrix for AI end-side consumer electronics, positioning itself well for future market opportunities [3][8]. - The report highlights the company's strong performance in the automotive and server PCB segments, with a significant revenue increase of 90.34% in 2024 [2][7]. Financial Summary - Revenue Projections: The company forecasts revenues of 32.07 billion yuan in 2023, increasing to 35.14 billion yuan in 2024, and further to 39.60 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12% from 2024 to 2027 [1][9]. - Net Profit: The net profit is projected to rise from 3.29 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.62 billion yuan in 2024, with a continued upward trend to 5.73 billion yuan by 2027 [1][9]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): The EPS is expected to grow from 1.42 yuan in 2023 to 2.47 yuan in 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [1][9]. - Valuation Metrics: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 20.7 in 2023 to 11.9 by 2027, suggesting improving valuation as earnings grow [1][9]. Market Demand and Product Segmentation - The report notes a recovery in market demand for smartphones and consumer electronics, supported by government policies such as trade-in programs and subsidies [2][3]. - Revenue from communication boards, consumer electronics, and computing boards is expected to be 24.24 billion yuan, 9.75 billion yuan, and 1.03 billion yuan respectively in 2024, with significant growth rates of 3.08%, 22.30%, and 90.34% [2][3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively enhancing its capabilities in the automotive PCB market, with plans for significant capital expenditures to support R&D and market expansion [7][8]. - The establishment of the ONE AVARY platform aims to integrate technology and resources across the AI product value chain, enhancing competitive advantages [3][8].