Guobo Electronics (SH:688375) Zhongyuan Securities·2025-05-17 00:15Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company, indicating a potential increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [28]. Core Insights - The company, Guobo Electronics (688375), reported a revenue of 2.59 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 27.4%, and a net profit of 485 million yuan, down 20.1% year-on-year [7][8]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant decline in revenue, with 350 million yuan, representing a 49.51% year-on-year drop, and a net profit of 57.53 million yuan, down 52.37% year-on-year [7][8]. - Despite the short-term performance pressure, the company anticipates growth driven by military and potential military trade demands as the 14th Five-Year Plan concludes [13]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's gross margin was 38.59%, an increase of 6.31 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin rose to 18.7%, up 1.7 percentage points [9]. - The revenue from T/R components and RF modules decreased by 30.99% to 2.13 billion yuan, accounting for 89.99% of total revenue, while RF chip revenue increased by 33.46% to 170 million yuan [11]. Business Segments - The T/R component and RF module business faced a revenue decline, while the RF chip segment showed significant growth, indicating a shift in product demand [8][11]. - The company is focusing on expanding its terminal market, with RF chip products already being supplied to several well-known terminal manufacturers [8]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 3.06 billion yuan, 3.90 billion yuan, and 4.68 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 603 million yuan, 787 million yuan, and 963 million yuan [14]. - The anticipated recovery in military demand and potential military trade opportunities are expected to catalyze the company's growth in the coming years [13].