Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [34][17]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 8.124 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 33.74%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 19.21% to 334 million yuan due to high shipping costs and increased sales expenses [5][6]. - The company is focusing on product innovation and expanding its sales channels, particularly in emerging platforms like TEMU, TikTok, and SHEIN, which have shown significant growth [6][12]. - The logistics optimization strategy, including the establishment of additional warehouses in Europe and the U.S., has improved delivery efficiency and reduced costs [10][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 2.294 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 53.02% [5]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 34.65%, a decrease of 1.67 percentage points compared to the previous year [15]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.091 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.56%, with a net profit of 111 million yuan, up 10.30% [5][16]. Revenue Growth Drivers - The revenue growth was driven by strong performance in new and secondary products, which accounted for 37% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 89% [6]. - The furniture and home goods categories saw significant growth, with revenues of 4.198 billion yuan and 2.953 billion yuan, respectively, both showing over 35% growth [7]. - The company has diversified its sales channels, with B2C and B2B revenues of 6.837 billion yuan and 1.196 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.43% and 14.43% [9]. Supply Chain and Logistics - The company has established a global mixed warehousing network, with a self-operated warehouse area of 334,900 square meters by the end of 2024, covering key markets in Europe and the U.S. [10]. - The logistics strategy includes optimizing warehouse locations to enhance delivery speed and reduce costs, with average shipping costs decreasing by 0.7 to 2.4 USD per package [10][11]. - The company is transitioning its supply chain to Southeast Asia to mitigate geopolitical risks and reduce costs, with 20% of shipments to the U.S. already sourced from this region [14]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 385 million yuan, 548 million yuan, and 709 million yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.96 yuan, 1.37 yuan, and 1.76 yuan [19][17]. - The ongoing expansion into new sales channels and the optimization of logistics are expected to support sustained revenue growth and improve profitability in the coming years [12][17].
品类渠道发展推动销售增长,供应链全球化分散风险——致欧科技(301376)2024年报及2025年一季报点评