North Industries (SZ:000519) Zhongyuan Securities·2025-05-18 02:05Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [31]. Core Views - The company is expected to experience a turning point in its fundamentals due to potential increases in military demand and military trade opportunities, which could catalyze revenue growth [14]. - The company reported significant losses in 2024, with total revenue of 4.569 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 25.29%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 327 million yuan [5][6]. - The company has set an ambitious revenue target of 8.7 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a growth expectation of 90.41% compared to 2024 [15]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 45.69 billion yuan, down 25.29% year-on-year, with a net loss of 3.27 billion yuan compared to a profit of 828 million yuan in the previous year [5][6]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 6.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 30.06% year-on-year, with a net loss of 1.29 billion yuan, marking a decline of 843.67% [5][6]. Business Segments - The special equipment segment generated revenue of 23.93 billion yuan, a decline of 23.93%, accounting for 52.38% of total revenue [12]. - The superhard materials segment reported revenue of 17.64 billion yuan, down 23.33%, representing 38.6% of total revenue [12]. - The specialized automotive segment's revenue decreased by 3.81% to 4.12 billion yuan [12]. Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 15.24%, a decrease of 17.01 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was -8.05%, down 21.59 percentage points [8]. - The gross margin for the special equipment segment was 9.61%, down 23.92 percentage points, and for the superhard materials segment, it was 25.88%, down 9.77 percentage points [13]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in military demand, which is expected to positively impact its performance in the coming years [14]. - The projected revenues for 2025 to 2027 are 6.872 billion yuan, 8.970 billion yuan, and 10.735 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 279 million yuan, 408 million yuan, and 558 million yuan [16][17].