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日月股份(603218):25Q1收入高速增长,看好规模效应带来盈利拐点

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price set at 12.25 CNY [6]. Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with a 2024 revenue of 4.70 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 0.87%, and a net profit of 623.81 million CNY, up 29.55% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is positioned as a leading supplier in the wind power casting and injection molding market, benefiting from the high growth in wind power installations [2]. - The company has effectively controlled costs, achieving a gross margin of 17.34% in 2024, despite a slight decrease from the previous year [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.30 billion CNY, a remarkable increase of 86.41% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.21 billion CNY, up 39.14% [1]. - The total operating costs for 2024 were 4.29 billion CNY, reflecting a 2.44% increase from the previous year, primarily due to increased production and depreciation [3]. - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 1.04 billion CNY, 1.11 billion CNY, and 1.22 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 11, and 10 [4]. Industry Outlook - The wind power industry is entering a new growth phase, driven by the adoption of large-scale and lightweight technologies, which has opened up new market opportunities [2]. - The company has expanded its production capacity to over 700,000 tons annually, positioning itself to meet the increasing demand in the wind power sector [2].