xinje(SH:603416) AVIC Securities·2025-05-19 03:00Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 10% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [4][5][14]. Core Insights - The company has been deeply engaged in industrial automation for nearly two decades and is recognized as a small giant in the field. It specializes in the research, production, and sales of industrial automation control products, including programmable logic controllers (PLCs), drive systems, human-machine interfaces, and smart devices [1][2]. - The company is the second-largest domestic player in the small PLC market, with a market share of 9.5% in 2024, reflecting a 2 percentage point increase from 2023. The sales revenue from PLC products reached 648 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 21.09% [2]. - The company is actively expanding into the humanoid robot sector, developing key components such as hollow cup motors and frame-less torque motors, and has invested in related technologies and companies to enhance its capabilities in this area [3]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company's revenue for 2022, 2023, and 2024 was 1.335 billion yuan, 1.505 billion yuan, and 1.708 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.75%, 12.73%, and 13.5% [1]. - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 2.062 billion yuan, 2.490 billion yuan, and 3.009 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 287 million yuan, 357 million yuan, and 445 million yuan [4][10]. - The current price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to be 31.9X for 2025, 25.6X for 2026, and 20.5X for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [4]. Product Line and Market Position - The company has a leading position in the small PLC market and is expanding its product line to include medium and large PLCs, as well as other industrial control products, while also targeting high-end intelligent manufacturing sectors such as renewable energy and robotics [2]. - The revenue from drive systems has increased significantly, accounting for 47% of total revenue in 2024, with a revenue of 806 million yuan and a gross margin of 24.46% [2][11].