恒立液压（601100）：挖机带动主业回暖，线性驱动器带来新增长点

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative increase in stock price between 10% and 20% compared to the benchmark index over the next six months [9][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 9.39 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.51 billion yuan, up 0.4% year-on-year [4][5]. - The excavator market is showing signs of recovery, with domestic sales increasing by 31.9% in the first quarter of 2025, indicating a positive trend for the company's core business [6]. - The linear actuator project has entered mass production, which is expected to provide new growth opportunities for the company [6]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenues of 9.39 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 42.47%, slightly down by 0.89 percentage points year-on-year [5]. - The company’s net profit for 2025 is projected to be 2.76 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 10.01% [11][12]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to grow from 1.87 yuan in 2024 to 2.65 yuan by 2027 [11][12]. Business Segments - The hydraulic pumps and motors segment showed robust growth, with revenues of 3.58 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.63% [5]. - Domestic sales accounted for 72.51 billion yuan in 2024, up 3.61% year-on-year, while international sales reached 2.07 billion yuan, an increase of 7.61% [5]. Market Outlook - The excavator sales in China reached 100,500 units in 2024, a 11.7% increase, signaling a recovery in the market after three years of decline [6]. - The company expects revenue growth rates of 11.19%, 11.43%, and 11.40% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7][11].