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航材股份(688563):2024年业绩稳健增长,民机、低空及国际市场前景广阔

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative price increase of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 10 months [7][15]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.932 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 581 million yuan, up 1% year-on-year [4][5]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 653 million yuan, a decrease of 4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 135 million yuan, down 9% year-on-year [4]. - The company has seen significant growth in sales to major clients, with revenue from the aviation industry increasing by 9% to 1.155 billion yuan, and sales to the China Aviation Development system rising by 16% to 976 million yuan [5]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 29.64%, a decrease of 1.91 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to changes in product mix [6]. - The company is expanding its international market presence, having signed a long-term framework contract with a foreign client worth approximately 2.1 billion yuan [6]. - The company aims for steady growth in 2025, projecting revenue between 2.99 billion and 3.22 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 2% to 10% [7]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits for 2025 to be between 590 million and 640 million yuan, also reflecting a growth of 2% to 10% [7]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is estimated at 3.165 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 7.93% [11]. - The expected net profit for 2026 is 739 million yuan, with a growth rate of 15.79% [11]. - The company's price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to decrease from 41.82 in 2024 to 28.02 by 2027 [11].