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通威股份(600438):2024年报及2025年一季报点评及近况更新:一季度亏损收窄,产品竞争力继续增强

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of 25.37 CNY [6][13]. Core Views - The company has a solid industry position, and as the industry stabilizes, its performance is expected to improve. The first quarter losses have narrowed, and both the battery and polysilicon businesses are enhancing quality and efficiency [3][13]. - The company achieved a revenue of 91.994 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 33.9%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of -7.039 billion CNY [5][13]. - The company is the top seller of battery cells, with a sales volume of 87.68 GW in 2024, an increase of 8.7% year-on-year, and has maintained its position as the global leader in shipment volume for eight consecutive years [13]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to recover to 97.675 billion CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of 6.2% [5][14]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to improve to -2.745 billion CNY in 2025, with a significant recovery forecasted in subsequent years [5][14]. - The company's cash cost of production for polysilicon has decreased to 27,000 CNY per ton (excluding tax) [13]. Operational Highlights - The company has successfully integrated key equipment and technologies, leading to a reduction in comprehensive electricity consumption and silicon consumption [13]. - The company is advancing its technology roadmap, with plans to enhance the efficiency of its products and maintain a multi-technology development strategy [13].