Mindray(SZ:300760) Huachuang Securities·2025-05-19 13:46Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of 278 yuan [2][7]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a structural upgrade towards high-end products and is making significant progress in international markets. The total revenue for 2024 is projected to be 36.726 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.14%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 11.668 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.74% [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - 2024 Financials: Total revenue is 36.726 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.1%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is 11.668 billion yuan, showing a growth of 0.7% [3]. - 2025 Projections: Expected revenue growth of 8.4% to 39.827 billion yuan and net profit growth of 7.5% to 12.545 billion yuan [3]. - 2026 and 2027 Outlook: Revenue is projected to reach 45.883 billion yuan in 2026 and 52.779 billion yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 15.2% and 15.0%. Net profit is expected to be 14.832 billion yuan in 2026 and 17.233 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 18.2% and 16.2% [3][8]. Market Dynamics - The international market is showing robust growth, with a 21.28% increase in 2024. The Asia-Pacific region, driven by countries like Australia, Thailand, and India, has seen nearly 40% growth. The European market has rebounded with over 30% growth [7]. - Domestic market performance has been under pressure, with a decline of 5.10% in 2024, primarily due to sluggish procurement processes. However, a rebound is anticipated in Q3 2025 as fiscal conditions improve [7]. Business Segment Performance - IVD Business: This segment has shown a growth of 10.82% in 2024, with international IVD growth exceeding 30%. IVD has become the largest business segment, accounting for 37.48% of total revenue [7]. - Medical Imaging: This segment grew by 6.60%, with international growth over 15%. The domestic high-end ultrasound market has also seen significant performance [7]. - Life Information and Support: This segment faced a decline of 11.11%, but international growth remains strong [7]. Valuation Metrics - The report estimates a DCF-based valuation of 337.1 billion yuan for the company, translating to a target price of approximately 278 yuan, which corresponds to a PE ratio of 27 times for 2025 [7].