格科微（688728）：拐点已至

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [9][14]. Core Views - The company is projected to achieve revenue of 6.383 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.90%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 187 million yuan, up 287.20% year-on-year [3][12]. - The global smartphone market is expected to rebound in 2024, with an estimated shipment of 1.18 billion units, a growth of approximately 6.8% year-on-year, benefiting the company's mobile CIS product segment [3][4]. - The company is enhancing its product structure with a higher proportion of high-pixel CIS products, which is expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth [3][5]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 15.20 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 39.5 billion yuan [2]. - The company has a total share capital of 2.601 billion shares, with 1.449 billion shares in circulation [2]. - The asset-liability ratio stands at 65.3%, indicating a moderate level of financial leverage [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 8.019 billion yuan in 2025, 10.08 billion yuan in 2026, and 13.009 billion yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 25.62%, 25.70%, and 29.06% [12][13]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 303 million yuan in 2025, 703 million yuan in 2026, and 1.303 billion yuan in 2027, with significant growth rates of 62.22%, 132.07%, and 85.30% respectively [12][13]. Business Segments - The company's mobile CIS business is projected to generate revenue of 3.598 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 56.39% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 60.44% [3][4]. - The non-mobile CIS segment is also expected to grow, with projected revenue of 1.426 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 17.82% [5]. - The display driver chip business is anticipated to achieve revenue of 1.356 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 9.47% [8].