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指南针(300803):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:业绩增长稳健,全牌照协同效应显现

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [2][16]. Core Views - The company demonstrated robust performance with a revenue of 1.529 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 37.37%, and a net profit of 104 million yuan, up 43.50% year-on-year. The fourth quarter alone contributed 752 million yuan in revenue, marking a 75.18% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 214 million yuan, up 89.25% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue reached 542 million yuan, a staggering 84.68% increase year-on-year, with net profit soaring to 139 million yuan, a 725.93% increase year-on-year [2][6]. Financial Performance Summary - 2024 Financial Metrics: - Revenue: 1,529 million yuan - Year-on-Year Growth: 37.4% - Net Profit: 104 million yuan - Year-on-Year Growth: 43.5% - Earnings Per Share: 0.17 yuan - Price-to-Earnings Ratio: 344 times - Price-to-Book Ratio: 16.0 times [2][7]. - 2025 Financial Projections: - Revenue: 1,961 million yuan - Year-on-Year Growth: 28.3% - Net Profit: 294 million yuan - Year-on-Year Growth: 182.1% - Earnings Per Share: 0.49 yuan - Price-to-Earnings Ratio: 122 times - Price-to-Book Ratio: 13.1 times [2][7]. - 2026 and 2027 Projections: - 2026 Revenue: 2,376 million yuan (21.2% growth) - 2026 Net Profit: 372 million yuan (26.4% growth) - 2027 Revenue: 2,796 million yuan (17.7% growth) - 2027 Net Profit: 479 million yuan (28.9% growth) [2][7]. Business Segment Insights - Financial Information Services: - In 2024, the internet financial services segment generated 1.211 billion yuan, accounting for 79.22% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 22.75%. The fourth quarter saw a significant recovery due to increased market activity, and new product launches are expected to enhance user engagement [6][2]. - Securities Business: - The securities segment, primarily through the subsidiary Maigao Securities, reported a net income from fees and commissions of 241 million yuan in 2024, a 162.83% increase year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 continued this growth trend, with net income from fees and commissions reaching 97.28 million yuan, up 143.26% year-on-year [6][2]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is positioned to benefit from the synergy of its full-license operations, with expectations of continued growth in both its financial information services and securities business. The report anticipates revenue growth of 28.3%, 21.2%, and 17.7% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside significant increases in net profit [6][2].