Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 32.88 CNY per share, based on a projected PE ratio of 24 times for 2025 [4][6][11]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the release of efficiencies from its market-oriented professional reforms, with anticipated improvements in revenue and profitability in the upcoming quarters [4][10][11]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a slight decline in total revenue and net profit, but the second quarter is expected to see marginal improvements due to ongoing reforms and inventory replenishment [10][11]. - The company is focusing on professional operations in its meat product business, enhancing market quality, and expanding new channels, which has already shown positive results in some areas [10][11]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's projected revenue for 2025 is 61.825 billion CNY, reflecting a 3.8% year-on-year growth, while the net profit is expected to be 4.730 billion CNY, a decrease of 5.2% compared to the previous year [5][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is forecasted at 1.37 CNY, with subsequent years showing slight increases to 1.50 CNY in 2026 and 1.55 CNY in 2027 [4][11]. - The gross margin is expected to decline to 16.5% in 2025, while the net margin is projected to be 7.6% [5][10]. Market and Operational Insights - The company is implementing a sales system reform aimed at professional operations, which includes enhancing brand matrix and marketing for high-cost performance products [10][11]. - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio, which is expected to provide a safety margin for investors, with a current dividend yield of 5.43% [10][11].
双汇发展(000895):销售体系专业化改革,Q2经营有望边际改善