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迎驾贡酒(603198):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:收入环比降速,结构升级延续

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company's total revenue for 2024 is 7.344 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.46%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is 2.589 billion yuan, up 13.45% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items is 2.566 billion yuan, an increase of 14.93% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the total revenue is 2.047 billion yuan, down 12.35% year-on-year, with a net profit of 829 million yuan, a decrease of 9.54% year-on-year [2][6] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In 2024, the company's mid-to-high-end liquor revenue reached 5.713 billion yuan, up 13.76% year-on-year, while ordinary liquor revenue was 1.29 billion yuan, down 6.53% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, mid-to-high-end liquor revenue was 1.72 billion yuan, down 8.57% year-on-year, and ordinary liquor revenue was 242 million yuan, down 32.09% year-on-year. The performance of mid-to-high-end liquor continues to outperform ordinary liquor, indicating an ongoing structural upgrade [12] Profitability - The net profit margin for 2024 increased by 1.55 percentage points to 35.26%, with a gross margin up 2.92 percentage points to 73.94%. The expense ratio increased by 0.15 percentage points to 13.03%. In Q1 2025, the net profit margin rose by 1.25 percentage points to 40.47%, and the gross margin increased by 1.5 percentage points to 76.49% [12] Market Dynamics - The ordinary liquor segment and the provincial market are under temporary pressure. The company is adjusting its targets flexibly while maintaining healthy inventory levels to support future growth. EPS for 2025 and 2026 is projected to be 3.38 yuan and 3.57 yuan, respectively, corresponding to current PE ratios of 13 and 12 times [12]