Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has a stable dividend distribution policy, with a cash dividend of 0.104 yuan per share for 2024, totaling approximately 285 million yuan, which accounts for about 30% of the net profit attributable to the parent company [1][3] - The gross profit margin has significantly decreased in Q1 2025, with a margin of approximately 8.8% compared to 14.3% for the entire year of 2024 [2][3] - The company is exercising caution in its investment and construction activities, with no new projects started in Q1 2025 and a total construction area of approximately 7.68 million square meters as of the end of Q1 2025 [2][3] Summary by Relevant Sections Dividend Distribution - The company has consistently maintained a stable dividend payout ratio over the years, with ratios of 32.8%, 30.5%, 30.4%, 55.4%, and 30.0% for the years 2020 to 2024 respectively [1] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 18.48 billion yuan, with a net profit of 190 million yuan, reflecting a net profit margin of approximately 1.0% [2] - The sales amount reached 29.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45%, while the sales area grew by 58% to 1.082 million square meters [2] Investment and Construction - The company acquired 37,787 square meters of land in Q1 2025, with no new projects initiated during this period [2] - The total area of properties under construction was approximately 7.68 million square meters, with rental income of about 188 million yuan from a total rental area of 999,300 square meters [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 at 820 million yuan, with downward adjustments for 2026 and 2027 to 960 million yuan and 1.12 billion yuan respectively [3] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 17, 15, and 12 for the years 2025 to 2027 [3]
华发股份:动态跟踪:分红派息保持稳定,投资开工相对谨慎-20250521