CTGR(600905) Haitong Securities International·2025-05-21 11:15Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, with a target price of RMB 5.20 based on a projected 20x PE for 2025 [1][11]. Core Insights - The company's performance is under pressure due to declining electricity prices and impairment losses, but the sale of hydropower assets is expected to improve earnings in 2025. As a leader in green energy, the company has a solid project pipeline for future growth [4][11]. Financial Summary - Revenue Projections: The company is expected to generate revenues of RMB 29.72 billion in 2024, increasing to RMB 34.77 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.1% and 17.0% respectively [2][11]. - Net Profit: The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 6.11 billion in 2024, with a recovery to RMB 7.52 billion in 2025, after a decline of 14.8% in 2024 due to impairment losses [2][11]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): EPS is expected to be RMB 0.21 in 2024 and RMB 0.26 in 2025, indicating a gradual recovery [2][11]. Operational Highlights - Installed Capacity: As of the end of 2024, the company has 16.44 GW of installed capacity under construction, including 4.87 GW of wind power and 7.45 GW of solar power, which supports its growth strategy [4][11]. - Revenue Breakdown: Wind power revenue is projected at RMB 19.82 billion in 2024, while solar power revenue is expected to reach RMB 9.12 billion, showing significant growth in the solar segment [4][11]. Market Position - The company is recognized as an industry leader with significant advantages in offshore wind power, justifying a valuation premium compared to peers [1][11].