Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has entered into a significant agreement with Pfizer regarding the global development, production, and commercialization rights for its innovative PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody SSGJ-707, which includes an upfront payment of $1.25 billion and potential milestone payments of up to $4.8 billion [6] - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 2.328 billion, 2.612 billion, and 2.938 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.97, 1.09, and 1.23 CNY per share [6] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 9.3, 8.3, and 7.4 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation [6] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 7.836 billion CNY in 2023 to 10.078 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth rate of 14.1% and 10.7% respectively [9] - Net profit is expected to increase from 1.549 billion CNY in 2023 to 2.328 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-over-year growth of (19.1%) in 2023, followed by 34.9% in 2024 and 11.4% in 2025 [9] - The gross margin is projected to remain stable at around 84.2% from 2025 to 2027, while the net margin is expected to improve slightly from 26.6% in 2025 to 26.8% in 2027 [9] - The company’s ROE is forecasted to increase from 0.8% in 2025 to 1.1% in 2027 [9] Pipeline and Product Development - The company’s core product SSGJ-707 has shown promising results in clinical trials for NSCLC, achieving excellent ORR and DCR, and has received breakthrough therapy designation from the National Medical Products Administration [7] - The company is advancing multiple clinical studies for SSGJ-707, including a Phase III trial for NSCLC and ongoing research for colorectal cancer and gynecological tumors [7] - The company’s existing products, including Tebentafusp and others, are expected to contribute positively to cash flow, with successful negotiations for new indications enhancing growth potential [7]
三生制药：与辉瑞就SSGJ-707达成授权，创新价值弹性兑现-20250522