Workflow
海兴电力:公司业绩短期承压,海外配电业务蓄势待发-20250522

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][22][23] Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure, but its overseas distribution business is poised for growth. The company expects a revenue increase of 12.3% year-on-year to 4.72 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 1 billion yuan, reflecting a 2% increase year-on-year [1][8] - The company is expanding its overseas distribution business, with projected revenue of 4.535 billion yuan in 2024, a 13% increase year-on-year, and a gross margin of 45.3% [2][13] - Domestic distribution business is also growing steadily, with expected revenue of 1.595 billion yuan in 2024, a 20.6% increase year-on-year [14] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve a total revenue of 4.72 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1 billion yuan, and a gross margin of 43.9% [1][8] - The company’s expenses are expected to rise due to foreign exchange losses and an increase in personnel, leading to a total expense of 880 million yuan in 2024, a 54% increase year-on-year [3][16] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.122 billion yuan, 1.241 billion yuan, and 1.36 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 12%, 10.6%, and 9.6% [22][25] Market Position and Valuation - The current stock price is 26.98 yuan, with a market capitalization of 13.119 billion yuan. The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 11.7, 10.5, and 9.6 respectively [5][22][23] - The company has a strong position in the domestic market, having won contracts worth 1.123 billion yuan in the national grid and southern grid sectors, which is a 28% increase year-on-year [14]